疯性不改怎么能盈利啊!

今日又犯初级错误, 追高, 而且是追第二浪!
应该 short 的位点反而买进! 我真是疯子! 疯性不改怎么能盈利啊!

VISN 在 ER 后大涨 21%, 一直准备 pullback 后介入. 已 pullback 2日.

今日开涨, 是该进入. 看到时已涨了一浪, pullback 至 $23 没有进入, 第二浪快速上涨, 居然追高至最高点 $23.7 进入. 后 pullback 至$22.38, 最多要亏 $1200! 我的胆子怎么这么大, 为什么控制不了自己的冲动高点进入啊?

应该等到下午横盘后开涨再介入就会比较安全!

The Power of short squeeze

The finanicial stocks have been dumped for 5 weeks and all of a sudden it reversed vigously by setting new rules: 20 major financial stocks can't be shorted for 7 days, may extend later.

The financial ETF: VFH jumped % in 6 days.
UYG jumped
SKF dumped

BOA jumped 85% from 18.44 to 34.26.

非常时期非常处理

今年以来没有多少次成功的交易, 导致严重亏损.

现将如下规则制定看能不能获利:
1. 前一天晚上找好股票做好交易计划
2. 没有计划或股票不按计划走禁止交易
3. 只做 short on over-over-over extended.
4. 不可做大量大涨后的 consolidation
5. 不可马上进入低开或急 dip 的股票
6. 只在当日 9:50 后的 Top 做 short
7. With Stop!
8. 不可随意进场!
9. 不可做与当天趋势反向的交易 (不可做双向交易).
10. 不可进入没有明确走向的股票. 如大跌或大涨后的第二天. 极有可能会横向整理, 上下波动.
11. 首先看清楚有没有>$500 以上的获利机会.

Strategies and Targets.

Trading Strategies

Strategy A. Reversal Play

- SHORT at Top.
- Buy at Bottom.
- One Trend Only. Don't hope on 2nd leg!

SHORT at Top.

1. 1st Over-over-over Extended Top Play (Reversed V play).
A) Over-over-over extended.
B) With final big crazy pump & short squeeze.
C) Gap up.

2. 2nd Double Top Crack&Crash Top Play (M play).
A) Over-over-over extended pump top (1st top) with a crack.
B) Pull-up back to the 1st top level slowly with decreased volume.
C) Bigin to drop down.

Buy at Bottom.

1. 1st Extended Bottom Play (V Play).
A) Over-over-over extended.
B) With final big carzy dump & panic selling.
C) Gap down.

2. 2nd Double Bottom Pump&Shoot Bottom Play (W Play).
A) Over-over-over extened dump bottom (1st bottom) with a pump.
B) Pull-down back to the 1st bottom level slowly with decreased volume.
C) Begin to come back up.

Different Term Play

- Daytrading
- Short-term Trading
- Position Trading


Strategy B. Trend Following Play.

1. Bubble Trading
找到现阶段有可能形成 bubble 的题材, 在 bubble 形成的早期做 Long/Call, 在顶部做 short/Put.
Bubble 都需要一定的时间才能成熟, 要大胆 long, 要耐心等待等 Bubble 成熟, Bubble 破裂 (after crack, Crack and Crash) 后才开始 Short/Put .
如: 中国经济火时的中国概念股 (SINA, NTES, SOHU, SNDA) , 奥运行情时的 SOHU, 黄金涨时黄金开矿业 ( , 石油涨时的太阳能 (STP, SOLF, LDK, CSUN), 能源危机时的煤炭业 (PCX). 其它如 GOOG, BIDU, RIMM, AAPL, GRMN, VMW, V 等.

2. Down Play
找到现阶段出现危机的题材进行 Short/Put. 如房产泡沫破后的房贷产业.


Trading Targets

Target A - 5% Play

选择一次交易有 >5% 获利空间的目标进行偷窃.
仔细观察耐心等待机会的出现. 在最佳机会时半仓出击. 及时获利了结. 每周一次即可.

Target B - Double your money

选择长线趋势明确的股票进行狩猎. 买入2-3月到期的 Put or Call.
获利目标需 >100%. 长线持有. 从 $1000 元开始, 下次操作连本带利出击.

忍-等-稳-准-狠

计划-实施-成功
- 在交易前要有明确的交易计划, 有效的计划能帮助你实现成功的目标.
- 按计划操作并有效地实施自我控制能力.
- 没有规矩不成方圆, 钢铁般的纪律是成功的前提.
- 切忌临盘交易的时候把事前制定好的计划抛到九霄云外，让恐惧和贪婪主宰交易焉能取胜？

忍 从容镇静.
- 心态必须从容镇静，才能够很好地分析和操作.
- 当一个人能从容的对待一切的时候，智慧、沉稳和力量就会一起涌现.
- 夹着尾巴做一只胆小的小老鼠. 贪梦是魔鬼 冲动是魔鬼 自负是魔鬼 情绪化的操作是失败的根源
- Don't overtrade!

等 守株待兔.
- 耐心等待机会的出现, 在最合适的时机重拳出击.
- Wait-Wait-Wait for Over-Over-Over Extended.
- 没有机会就休息! 耐得住寂寞，静若处子，动若脱兔.

稳 三思而后行.
- 深思熟虑, 不打无准备之仗.
- 低买高卖. 高空低收. BUY at Bottom, SHORT at Top.
- NO pump buy NO dip short!
- One trend only! Never hope on 2nd leg!
- Always with stop! Cut loss quickly! Never add to a loss position!
- 见好就收，落袋为安. 不管多少, 挣了钱就好!
- 不能做死多头; 也不能做死空头; 要做坚定的滑头.

准 在恰当的时间做正确的决策.
- Killing Entry is the most important.
- Wait-Wait-Wait for OVER-OVER-OVER extended only.
- Killing Entry = Short at Top, Buy at Bottom. No pump buy, no dip short. No quick entry after a quick pump or dump.
- 一看二慢三通过. Over Over Over Extended Only! With 1, 2, 3 waves. Wave 1 看 Wave 2 慢 Wave 3 开干.
- Observe Law of support and resistance. Enter/Exit at doulbe top/bottom.
- 远离震荡，节约时间. Bull makes money, Bear makes money, Pig will be slaughtered!!!
- 偷了就跑. Stalk and ambush. 蛰伏-突袭. 像小老鼠一样保持着蛰伏，一旦出现机会，立即出击并迅速获利了结.

狠 勇于出击.
- 大行情低风险敢于用重拳出击, 小行情大风险要控制仓位

PUMP & DUMP
- 股票本无价，大涨必大跌.
- 世上没有只涨不跌的股市(票), 也没有只跌不涨的股市(票).

Trend is your friend
- 炒家不如藏家 藏家不如捂家

今日大败: -2141! Wrong Swing on Option Expiring Day

今日是疯狂的一日!

1. 心态不稳定,情绪化的操作.

2. 完全没有遵守操作的规则: buy at bottom, short at top, over over over extended! No dip short, no pump buy. Take profit on One trend. Don't hope for the 2nd up or down.

3. 用不切实际的幻想指导操作, 超级贪:
A. Buy at momentum pump at $9.2, 到了9.9 也没想出去, 还准备到 $10.5! 今天是第三天 up, 根本不太可能单边上扬, 而是到顶后获利回吐, 直到 break down. 后来 forced to take profit at $9.55 落荒而逃! 我哭!
B. Short at $9.05, 设 take profit at $8.51 (support). 后来改为 $8.05! 急跌到$8.40 即快速反转. 没有遵守supprt and resistance law. 后来在 $9.90 forced to take profit! 再次落荒而逃! 我哭!

4. 无数的错误操作:
A. Buy @9.20 Sell @9.55 +875
B. Buy at $9.62 Sell at $9.46 -400
C. Short at $9.14 Cover at $9.31 -425
D. Short at $9.07 Cover @9.33 -650
E. Buy @$9.34 Sell @9.24 -250
F. Short @9.24 Cover @9.26 -50
G. Buy @9.27 Sell @9.18 -225
H. Short @9.05 Cover @ 8.9 +375
I. Short @8.85 Cover @9.00 -375
J. Buy @9.04 Sell @9.20 +400
K. Buy @9.9.28 Sell @9.17 -275
---------------------------------------
-1000

Others:
L. Short CSGS 1000@14.66 Cover@14.88 -220
M. Short LEH 1000@18.78 Cover@19.18 -400
N. Buy SKF 200@138.40 Sell@138.50 +20
O. Buy SKF 200@139 Sell@137 -400
------------------------------------------
-1000